These are popular, so without further ado:
One: Donald Trump is indicted personally
Why It will happen:
The number of late stage investigations that are presently open are far easier to understand and haven’t had long running social narratives laid to influence prosecutors to drop cases.
Why It might not happen:
No state level prosecutions into Trump are likely to move forward without Federal indictments dropping first, as he will attempt to incite his base at whomever goes first. Federal investigations are notoriously slow working from the bottom to the top. We simply don’t know what stage any of the Federal ones are, with none of the tier below Trump yet indicted.
Two: Putin will no longer lead Russia
Why It will happen:
Vlad has killed too many of his own people putting him at greater risk from threats nearest to him. He knows that. I see him “retiring” to a bunker somewhere and resigning to reduce the likelihood of something worse happening to him.
Why It might not happen:
Putin has loyal generals still throwing people out of windows and other mysterious deaths. Also Russia really hasn’t suffered the heat of war within their homeland which would hasten his troubles.
Three: Matt Gaetz will be indicted
Why It will happen:
Gaetz’s partner Joel Greenberg was sentenced to eleven years for at least two crimes Matt is alleged to have committed with him, including the child sex trafficking. If the information given to the Grand Jury was strong enough to convince them to charge Joel, the same would likely be true of Gaetz.
Why It might not happen:
This feels the most likely done deal of the five predictions I am giving. If Trump gave a pocket pardon (unlikely) that would prevent it. Keep in mind Gaetz begged Trump for this and he was as loyal a foot soldier to Trump as anyone.
Four: Twitter will get hit with significant regulation and fines
Why It will happen: It is a guarantee that Twitter will be heavily scrutinized in 2023 by world governments. Musk himself is making certain that the GOP lead the charge, which is perhaps the most self-destructive and ill-conceived of any plan his team has come up with.
Expect enormous multi-billion dollar fines over Elon handing over full-access to billions of people’s personal data giving Twitter Consoles to spokespeople he promotes as journalists. The massive data breach earlier reported on just over a week ago is a separate issue with having given third party contractors access allowing them to scrape everyone’s phone numbers, emails and names. That one is on a magnitude far exceeding the Cambridge Analytica scrape.
Whatever happens with everything pre-Musk, he and his fellow Twitter owners get soaked for those liabilities. Same with the bonafide nazification methods he undertook to make the platform into a radicalization engine. There will be a stress test in the EU, which has a good chance of failure if accurate reporting surfaces regarding what has always been going on at Twitter.
Why It might not happen:
The only reason it doesn’t happen is that things take too long to reach fines and get regulation signed this year. I expect significant regulation is a done deal 100%. The fines often take five to ten years for settlements to be reached.
Five: Jim Stewartson will file his lawsuit
Why It will happen: The documentation collected of the abuse, tortious interference, cyber stalking, and criminality is significant with the complaint being mostly written months ago. Jim in my opinion, is more focused on the bigger picture and threat these people were conspiring to protect. That means his complaint will in effect be an indictment, not only of criminal conspiracy to deny his and others their Civil Rights, but to open up the bigger picture which none of us observers know all of save he.
The secondary purpose of a lawsuit is to lay out why Federal investigators should investigate criminals like Susan Portnoy, Brad Shuttleworth, Matt Donovan, Remi Barrette and others.
Why It might not happen: It’s not always easy to pick up an attorney that will have the follow through and same sense of urgency as Jim has, especially when the number of co-defendants are as high as this one will be. Lawsuits also tend to tie up one’s time and resources making other things very difficult during the 18 to 36 months they generally take to sort out before going to trial.
Yeah, they can and usually do take that long.
Most potential lawsuits get settled before they go to trial. When one does these right, in my experience, they get settled before a lawsuit is even filed. That happens especially when the opposing lawyers get cocky, and blow up their own legal defense underestimating what they are facing up against. Right Brad, whom I feel obligated to thank for his service, just in case.
Let’s look at two examples I am loosely following but not keeping up to date on.
The one Louise Mensch is involved in over her suicide trolling, is still going through pre-discovery type motions some nine months in. Clocks were potentially reset with each amended filing (each state is different), and there were many. My expectation for that one is it will go to trial in 2024 if it isn’t somehow dismissed.
The second is Rocco’s suit with buddy Tim Pool over stuff. It’s mostly performative with Castoro, at least from my point of view, having almost zero chance of success convincing a jury he was unjustly dealt with. All Tim Pool would have to do is run the reel tape of Rocco’s Twitter feed and ask the judge that Rocco pay all his legal fees to end such nonsense if the suit was anything but performance art meant to give an appearance of separation when none probably exists.
That suit I believe had discovery recently with Rocco crowing just prior, and being on lock almost universally since. I assume the suit started mid-2021.